THE ICHRA SHOP™CHOICE. CONTROL. CONFIDENCE.
MARKET SNAPSHOT · SEPTEMBER 20, 2026

2027 Market Intelligence · Independent Employer Analysis

See the market.
Model the workforce.

Rate filings are the beginning. This command center adds the decision layer: Market Scores, individual-versus-small-group economics, carrier context and the fees that determine whether an ICHRA opportunity survives.

+15.2%National mostly weighted individual-market increase
$854Projected 2027 average unsubsidized monthly premium
+$1,300Approximate annual increase per unsubsidized enrollee
20.6MEstimated ACA-compliant individual enrollment

THE MARKET, FOUR WAYS

National intelligence map

Switch lenses to see rate pressure, individual-versus-small-group positioning, completed ICHRA Shop Market Scores, or regulatory status. Select a state for decision-ready detail.

AKHIALARAZCACOCTDCDEFLGAIAIDILINKSKYLAMAMDMEMIMNMOMSMTNCNDNENHNJNMNVNYOHOKORPARISCSDTNTXUTVAVTWAWIWVWY
Lower pressureHigher pressure

Employer exposure lab

—Illustrative annual premium exposure if the selected statewide trend applied uniformly. Not a quote.

National pressure board

MORE THAN A RATE TRACKER

The ICHRA decision layer

Rate filings describe a market. They do not determine whether an ICHRA works for a specific employer.

01

Market Score™

Your completed reviews combine rate direction with carrier choice, geography, market structure, affordability and risk-pool signals.

02

Workforce fit

Employee age, ZIP, household, subsidy eligibility and provider preferences can matter more than the statewide average.

03

Cost conversion

Turn a percentage headline into PEPM and annual employer exposure using a real census and a defensible contribution strategy.

04

Carrier dispersion

A wide carrier range can create opportunity for some employees and disruption for others. The average hides both.

05

Risk Intelligence

Enrollment loss, morbidity pressure, MLR, exits and shrinking scale help explain whether pricing pressure may persist.

06

Decision discipline

The conclusion is not “ICHRA everywhere.” It is where to model, where to proceed, and where to be cautious.

35Rate competitiveness
20Carrier competition
15Off-exchange opportunity
15Affordability programs
10Employer environment
5Market momentum
State Avg individual Final avg Small group IND−SG Carriers Carrier range Market Score Status

PREDICTIVE RISK INTELLIGENCE

See what the renewal has been hiding.

Traditional small-group and ICHRA quotes show price. Our analysis can show the population, affordability, condition, prescription and projected-risk signals behind the next benefits decision—even for groups with as few as five lives.

Groups from 5 lives12-month projected riskHigh-cost claimant rangesSpecialty Rx intelligence
DE-IDENTIFIED ILLUSTRATIVE REPORT2027 Decision Intelligence
Strategy gradeA
Employees analyzed1,060
Match confidence86.4%
Projected risk1.08

ICHRA SAVINGS MARGIN CALCULATOR

How much savings survives the fees?

Compare a projected 2027 group renewal with an individual-market strategy, then see how administration, broker compensation and implementation costs change the employer's actual result.

2027 FEE PRESSURE TEST

Layer in the fees

Projected group renewal PEPM$0
vs.
Projected individual-market PEPM$0
Gross medical savings
$0
Admin + broker + setup
−$0
Net employer savings
$0
Net savings PEPM$0
Annual net savings$0
Gross savings retained0%

Planning model only. State filing averages are directional—not plan quotes. Validate premiums by employee age, ZIP code, household, carrier, network and coverage tier before recommending an ICHRA.

Model the employee—not the statewide average.

Order a 2027 Market Report or request a census-level ICHRA feasibility analysis.

Request an Analysis

Data discipline: Filing figures are statewide averages and may be weighted, semi-weighted or unweighted depending on available enrollment data. Florida individual figures are unweighted because carrier enrollment is protected as a trade secret. “Final” identifies a regulator-approved value where supplied. Market Score™ is proprietary analysis by The ICHRA Shop and appears only for reviewed states. Sources include ACA Signups, state insurance departments and public carrier filings. This is market analysis—not tax, legal or actuarial advice.